Remember, plurality ≠ majority

The New Yorker‘s Ryan Lizza points out that despite amassing more delegates than anyone else, Mitt Romney does not represent the ideal Republican candidate to the majority of the GOP.

Lizza suggests that this is due to an issue with the primary system, invoking the great political scientist Nelson Polsby. Look after the jump for the money quote: Continue reading

Jobs or Gas Prices: Which will matter more for President Obama?

us-job-graph

The US job market has started to improve.

From The Big Picture comes this graph showing what many people consider one of the key economic indicators of a recovery: job growth. Obama is sure to tout the steady ascent of jobs during his 2012 campaign if this trend continues. The article over at the Big Picture notes points out that the housing market has yet to recover, but I don’t know how much that will matter.

I recently heard an article on NPR discussing other numbers that actually sway who will win the presidency, one of which was gasoline prices. As you can see in the chart after the jump, if this trend continues, President Obama’s in for a harrowing campaign.

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